전미 부동산 소식

전미 부동산 뉴스 통계 은행 이자 몰게지 주거용 상업용 부동산 정보

On the decline

김세규
Author
admin
Date
2006-10-07 15:42
Views
1320




On the decline

Moody's Economy.com looks at the 100 largest markets and predicts their tops, their bottoms - and total price drops.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The housing market will get worse before it gets better - that's the finding of an analysis by Moody's Economy.com.

In the survey of 379 metro areas, the study's authors project that nearly 20 areas eventually could experience a "crash," or a decline of more than 10 percent from peak to trough. The most hard-hit areas will be in California, the Southwest coast of Florida, and in Arizona and Nevada.

Nationwide, the study forecasts a 3.6 percent decline in the sales price of existing homes.

The table below shows only those markets among the 100 largest by population that are forecast to have declines. In an analysis that considered mortgage rates, the local job market and other factors, the study makes projections on when those markets would peak, when they would hit their worst point, and what the total decline would be.


Moody's Home Price Forecast
AreaStatePeak to bottom
home price decline
PeakBottom
Cape CoralFL-18.6Q4 2005Q2 2007
RenoNV-17.2Q4 2005Q4 2008
MercedCA-16.1Q4 2005Q2 2009
StocktonCA-15.7Q4 2005Q4 2008
SarasotaFL-14.0Q4 2005Q3 2007
NaplesFL-13.8Q4 2005Q3 2007
TucsonAZ-13.4Q1 2006Q2 2008
Las VegasNV-12.9Q4 2005Q2 2009
ChicoCA-12.6Q4 2005Q2 2008
FresnoCA-12.5Q1 2006Q2 2009
Atlantic CityNJ-12.2Q4 2005Q2 2008
VallejoCA-12.1Q4 2005Q2 2009
WashingtonDC-12.0Q4 2005Q2 2008
ReddingCA-11.8Q1 2006Q2 2008
DetroitMI-11.7Q3 2005Q4 2006
RiversideCA-11.4Q1 2006Q4 2008
BloomingtonIL-11.1Q3 2005Q4 2006
BakersfieldCA-11.1Q1 2006Q2 2009
GreeleyCO-10.7Q1 2006Q2 2008
SalinasCA-10.3Q4 2005Q2 2008
Santa AnaCA-10.0Q1 2006Q4 2008
SacramentoCA-9.9Q4 2005Q2 2008
Carson CityNV-9.8Q1 2006Q2 2009
PhoenixAZ-9.3Q1 2006Q2 2008
Punta GordaFL-8.9Q1 2006Q2 2007
San DiegoCA-8.5Q4 2005Q2 2008
WarrenMI-8.4Q3 2005Q4 2006
AllentownPA-8.2Q4 2005Q2 2008
NassauNY-8.1Q1 2006Q2 2008
Fort Walton BeachFL-7.9Q2 2005Q3 2006
Santa RosaCA-7.9Q4 2005Q2 2008
Ocean CityNJ-7.6Q1 2007Q2 2010
VisaliaCA-7.3Q4 2005Q4 2008
RockfordIL-7.3Q1 2006Q1 2009
Santa BarbaraCA-7.2Q4 2005Q2 2008
WorcesterMA-7.0Q4 2005Q2 2007
New OrleansLA-6.7Q4 2005Q3 2007
SaginawMI-6.5Q1 2006Q2 2009
OaklandCA-6.4Q4 2005Q2 2008
Fort CollinsCO-6.1Q3 2005Q2 2007
PortlandME-5.9Q1 2006Q1 2007
Fort LauderdaleFL-5.9Q4 2005Q3 2007
West Palm BeachFL-5.7Q4 2005Q3 2006
MiamiFL-5.5Q1 2006Q2 2008
EdisonNJ-5.2Q1 2006Q2 2008
Los AngelesCA-4.8Q2 2006Q4 2008
DenverCO-4.6Q2 2006Q2 2008
NapaCA-3.8Q1 2006Q3 2006
ProvidenceRI-3.6Q3 2005Q2 2007
New YorkNY-3.5Q2 2006Q4 2008
ChampaignIL-3.5Q4 2005Q1 2009
Essex CountyMA-3.1Q3 2005Q3 2006
BethesdaMD-3.0Q4 2005Q2 2008
BoulderCO-2.8Q4 2005Q3 2006
Yuba CityCA-2.6Q4 2005Q3 2006
Salt Lake CityUT-2.3Q1 2006Q3 2006
BostonMA-2.2Q2 2006Q3 2006
PuebloCO-2.1Q1 2006Q3 2006
PrescottAZ-2.0Q1 2006Q2 2008
MaderaCA-1.8Q1 2007Q2 2009
Colorado SpringsCO-1.6Q2 2006Q3 2006
Grand JunctionCO-1.3Q2 2006Q3 2006
PortlandOR-0.8Q3 2007Q2 2009
LewistonID-0.8Q1 2007Q2 2008
St. GeorgeUT-0.5Q3 2007Q2 2008
HonoluluHI-0.3Q2 2007Q4 2008
MilwaukeeWI-0.3Q2 2007Q3 2008
HagerstownMD-0.2Q3 2007Q2 2008
MedfordOR-0.2Q3 2007Q2 2008
San JoseCA-0.2Q1 2007Q2 2007


Total 4
Number Thumbnail Title Author Date Votes Views
124
On the decline
admin | 2006.10.07 | Votes 0 | Views 1320
admin 2006.10.07 0 1320
123
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admin | 2006.10.05 | Votes 0 | Views 1135
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120
admin | 2006.10.03 | Votes 0 | Views 1051
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admin | 2006.10.03 | Votes 0 | Views 1150
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118
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admin | 2006.10.03 | Votes 0 | Views 1167
admin 2006.10.03 0 1167
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How to avoid Foreclosure
admin | 2006.10.02 | Votes 0 | Views 1163
admin 2006.10.02 0 1163
115
30-year mortgage rates fall to lowest level in more than 6 months
admin | 2006.10.02 | Votes 0 | Views 1113
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114
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admin | 2006.09.12 | Votes 0 | Views 1132
admin 2006.09.12 0 1132
113
Realtors forecast what home builders know: Home sales this year will tumble
admin | 2006.09.07 | Votes 0 | Views 1064
admin 2006.09.07 0 1064
112
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매매와 리스의 관계는 무엇인가?
admin | 2006.09.06 | Votes 0 | Views 1172
admin 2006.09.06 0 1172
110
Growth in home prices show sharp slowdown in 2Q
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admin 2006.09.06 0 1069